![[3월15일]-미국주식 커뮤니티동향: 경기 침체, 미국 주식 시장, 방산 주식, 소비재, 관세](https://temazu.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/photo_2025-03-17_20-35-50.webp "[3월15일]-미국주식 커뮤니티동향: 경기 침체, 미국 주식 시장, 방산 주식, 소비재, 관세")
미국커뮤니티 요약
(상세 내용은 하단부에 첨부합니다.)
요즘 주식 시장 변동성이 엄청 심하네. S&P 500이 급락했다가 반등했다는 소식도 있고. 다들 경기 침체 가능성에 대비해서 투자 전략 짜는 것 같아.Apple이 곧 실시간 번역 AirPods 기능을 내놓을 거라는데, Siri AI는 아직도 갈 길이 먼가 봐. 유럽 방산주 투자는 점점 늘어나는 추세래.지정학적 긴장 때문에 Tesla는 보복 관세 맞을 수도 있고, 캐나다는 F-35 구매 다시 생각 중이고, 밴쿠버에서는 미국 크루즈선 입항 금지될 수도 있다네. Target 주가는 4년 만에 최저치라 하고, Elon Musk의 Tesla 차량들이 파손되고 불타고 있다는 소식도 들려.
트레이딩뷰
1개월 프리미엄 무료
+ 15$ 즉시 할인
미국커뮤니티 상세링크
“불경기 때 돈을 많이 벌 수 있다는 말을 들었는데… 뭘 해야 하죠?” 🤑
Posted by: /u/TheseLeague7054 |
Date: 3/14/2025, 10:44:41 AM
Can someone guide me to where I can learn about what is going on and what I can do to take advantage of this recession? I imagine there will not be many opportunities in my life where I can use 10k of disposable money lying around for investments, and right now it is very important that I can get enough money to take care of everything.
Thanks
EDIT: Bad news for me everyone. My side hustle ended today. I don’t know what I did wrong so I’ll just explain what it was. Using THINKORSWIM, the trading app with Schwab, I was putting in day trades for like 20 shares for penny stocks (stocks between 2-4 dollars usually) and I spammed buy and cancel buy over and over again until it was filled quickly. Right after it was bought, I just sold it for above what I bought it for as fast as I could. I guess this broke some sort of rule but I have no clue what.
submitted by /u/TheseLeague7054
“블룸버그 뉴스 보도에 따르면, 애플이 실시간 대화 번역 기능을 AirPods에 도입할 계획이라고 합니다.”
Posted by: /u/Puginator |
Date: 3/14/2025, 1:49:09 PM
The feature will be offered as a part of an AirPods software upgrade later this year, the report said, and will be tied to the iOS 19 update to its mobile operating system.
Rival earbuds such as Google’s Pixel Buds have had the option for years, the report said. Apple did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment. The company had last year said its AirPods Pro 2 can be turned into a personalized hearing aid via software updates.
Apple is planning a major overhaul to its software later on this year and will change the look of its operating systems and interface of its iPhone, iPad and Mac, Bloomberg reported on Monday.
Source: https://www.reuters.com/technology/apple-plans-airpods-feature-that-can-live-translate-conversations-bloomberg-news-2025-03-13/
submitted by /u/Puginator
“그럼 다음번에는 연준이 국채를 전부 사들여야 하는 걸까?”
Posted by: /u/pembquist |
Date: 3/14/2025, 2:05:33 PM
EDIT: Link that doesn’t need account https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/bst_recenttrends.htm
Seriously at what point is the rest of the world going to be uninterested in our debt? Or maybe just less interested. The Executive wants to boss the Fed around and I’m seriously wondering how does a retail schmuck hedge this? The tax cuts send the money up the income ladder and the budget cuts impoverish but not enough, they’re going to still have to sell more bonds.
submitted by /u/pembquist
r/Stocks 오늘의 토론 & 기초 금요일, 2025년 3월 14일
Posted by: /u/AutoModerator |
Date: 3/14/2025, 6:30:30 PM
Some helpful day to day links, including news:
Finviz for charts, fundamentals, and aggregated news on individual stocks
Bloomberg market news
StreetInsider news:
Market Check – Possibly why the market is doing what it’s doing including sudden spikes/dips
Reuters aggregated – Global news
Most fundamentals are updated every 3 months due to the fact that corporations release earnings reports every quarter, so traders are always speculating at what those earnings will say, and investors may change the size of their holdings based on those reports.
Expect a lot of volatility around earnings, but it usually doesn’t matter if you’re holding long term, but keep in mind the importance of earnings reports because a trend of declining earnings or a decline in some other fundamental will drive the stock down over the long term as well.
But growth stocks don’t rely so much on EPS or revenue as long as they beat some other metric like subscriber count: Going from 1 million to 10 million subscribers means more revenue in the future.
Value stocks do rely on earnings reports, investors look for wall street expectations to be beaten on both EPS & revenue. You’ll also find value stocks pay dividends, but never invest in a company solely for its dividend.
See the following word cloud and click through for the wiki:
Market Cap – Shares Outstanding – Volume – Dividend – EPS – P/E Ratio – EPS Q/Q – PEG – Sales Q/Q – Return on Assets (ROA) – Return on Equity (ROE) – BETA – SMA – quarterly earnings
If you have a basic question, for example “what is EBITDA,” then google “investopedia EBITDA” and click the Investopedia article on it; do this for everything until you have a more in depth question or just want to share what you learned.
Useful links:
Investopedia page on fundamental analysis including Discounted Cash Flow analysis; see definition here and read their PDF on the topic.
FINVIZ for fundamental data, charts, and aggregated news
Earnings Whisper for earnings details
See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.
submitted by /u/AutoModerator
– 미국 주식 시장 밖의 기회
Posted by: /u/MisterTrader13 |
Date: 3/14/2025, 9:35:22 PM
As such, I have started looking outside the US stock market for better opportunities. There will never be opportunities as good as the US stock market, as it has the largest trading volume and is also the most valuable stock market. But as the world becomes more industrialised, it’s a global market and there’s increasingly more opportunities everywhere.
I’m currently ruling out Europe and the rest of North America for now. The tariffs are directed to these nations and it doesn’t look like it’s going stop anytime soon. China used to be a good alternative but I think we’re gonna see a lot of tariffs towards it by Trump soon, I wouldn’t invest in it. Plus, it’s pretty restrictive on who can invest and how much.
Most western nations are somehow the prime target of Trump, so Australia and New Zealand will likely be affected soon too. Plus, their economies are pretty small, with only a few niche exports (mostly natural resources). I just know Japan and South Korea are next, Trump won’t spare them and has talked many times about tariffing them hard.
I’ve been looking at South East Asia, the Middle East, South America and Africa. I know these are emerging economies but I’m grasping at thin air here. The US economy looks like it’s gonna be going down a while and it’s gonna bring every other major economy with it. It truly looks like the unravelling of free trade agreements happening in real time.
Anyone who’s looked into stocks from these regions, what are some good ones to invest in, and what industries in particular should I look for?
submitted by /u/MisterTrader13
유럽 최고의 자금 관리자들이 외면받던 방위산업 주식을 다시 담기 시작했다.
Posted by: /u/Fidler_2K |
Date: 3/14/2025, 11:57:01 PM
LONDON, March 13 (Reuters) – European asset managers are reconsidering their policies on investing in defence, under pressure from clients and some politicians to loosen restrictions and help fund the continent’s race to re-arm.
Under European Union rules, a number of funds badged as sustainable need to ensure their investments ‘Do No Significant Harm’. Many have avoided the sector entirely, with even engine maker Rolls Royce (RR.L) and Airbus (AIR.PA), which has a big commercial aviation division, judged off limits.
But as the EU now seeks around 800 billion euros ($870 billion) of investment to bolster defence after U.S. President Donald Trump said Europe must take more responsibility for its own security, the sector is too important to ignore.
Britain’s largest investor Legal & General (LGEN.L) is among those planning to increase exposure to defence, saying the sector’s appeal has “risen dramatically” amid deeper geopolitical tensions, Reuters reported on Thursday.
Some of Europe’s largest fund groups have separately begun to review their policies at board level, people familiar with the companies told Reuters, although the complexity and controversial nature of rewriting sustainability policies to include arms makers make the process tricky, the people said.
Switzerland’s UBS Asset Management (UBSG.S) told Reuters it was reviewing defence sector exclusions across funds while Mercer, a leading consultant to pension funds, said investors were asking asset managers to include defence in portfolios, including those with sustainability aims.
The EU’s spending boost has sent European aerospace and defence stocks including Germany’s Rheinmetall (RHMG.DE) and Italy’s Leonardo (LDOF.MI) record highs along with the sector index (.SXPARO) – and left investors without exposure ruing missed opportunities.
“Some (asset managers’ clients) are saying, we actually think it’s important that… Europe be able to defend itself. And so we’d actually like you to make investments in this sector,” said Rich Nuzum, global chief investment strategist at Mercer, which advises investors managing $17.5 trillion of assets.
Exclusions on investing in controversial weapons – such as cluster munitions and biological weapons – are widely held and informed by international treaties. EU and UK rules do not ban investment in most other defence companies, but an investor focus on environmental, social and governance (ESG) helped dissuade big asset managers from doing so, like with tobacco.
“We’re coming to a point where the atmosphere is that if you rule out defence, you’re the one who has to explain, not the other way around,” said Carl Haglund, CEO of Finnish pension and insurance group Veritas and ex-defence minister of Finland.
Reuters contacted 10 of Europe’s largest asset managers to ask if they were reviewing their policies. As well as UBS, Allianz Global Investors (ALVG.DE) said it was reviewing its exclusions, but that the timing was coincidental.
More in the article, it’s quite a long one
Is it worth playing individual stocks here or would an ETF like EUAD be the right pick?
submitted by /u/Fidler_2K
독일에서 여러 대의 테슬라 차량이 방화로 불에 타고, 캐나다에서는 강물에 빠뜨려졌습니다. 이러한 사건들이 테슬라 보험료 인상과 판매량에 영향을 미칠까요?
Posted by: /u/Mountain-Taro-123 |
Date: 3/14/2025, 11:59:05 PM
https://www.newsweek.com/tesla-vehicles-set-fire-berlin-germany-elon-musk-2044692
https://www.ctvnews.ca/calgary/article/stolen-tesla-drives-into-calgarys-bow-river/
submitted by /u/Mountain-Taro-123
– 기술주는 오르고, 필수 소비재는 내리고, 그 반대도 마찬가지 🔄
Posted by: /u/HeftyCompetition9218 |
Date: 3/15/2025, 1:27:35 AM
submitted by /u/HeftyCompetition9218
EU의 스타링크 골칫거리는 돈이 아니라 시간 문제 ⏰
Posted by: /u/Grigori_Rasputin1869 |
Date: 3/15/2025, 1:47:53 AM
As things stand it doesn’t look like Musk will imminently axe Ukraine’s Starlink access, which is part funded by Poland. He just wants the world to know there would be devastating consequences if he did. In a March 9 post on X, formerly known as Twitter, the billionaire claimed Ukraine’s “entire front line would collapse” without links to his satellites. Though he went on to insist he’d never pull the plug, such episodes underline the case for using a satellite operator based in the European Union.
At first glance, the costs of such a swap might appear to be a major barrier. Providing internet from space requires terminals on the ground to transmit satellite signals to end users, and analysts estimate the price of one Eutelsat ground terminal is around $10,000. Musk’s company, by comparison, offers terminals to Ukrainian consumers at less than $600 each. Assuming each of Starlink’s 40,000 or so terminals in Ukraine is eventually swapped out with a Eutelsat one, the replacement drive would cost $400 million before the internet is even switched on.
Weighed against the EU’s $17 trillion GDP this expense looks bearable, though. The European Commission is talking about mobilising 800 billion euros for defence, including 150 billion euros in loans for member states to spend on weapons. Throw in scope to raise pandemic-style joint debt at the EU level, and the bloc should be both able and willing to fund a satcom switch for Ukraine.
What’s less clear is whether Eutelsat’s OneWeb constellation has the satellite heft to deliver a quality of internet comparable to Musk’s outfit. Eutelsat has around 650 satellites in low earth orbit, far less than Starlink’s 7,000-strong fleet. Calculations by investment bank Bryan Garnier suggest the OneWeb constellation could only offer Ukraine one or two dozen gigabits of data per second (GBPS), a rate sufficient to supply around 10,000 residential ground terminals. Eutelsat has a powerful satellite in farther-flung geostationary orbit that could help to fill the gap, but whether the result is connectivity on par with Starlink’s is uncertain.
Capacity concerns aside, there are also questions around Eutelsat’s ability to roll out the new terminals on the ground at the necessary pace. The company’s CEO Eva Berneke told Bloomberg, opens new tab that the group would be capable of sourcing 40,000 of them in a matter of months. But unlike Starlink, which makes all its own equipment, Eutelsat relies on third parties to supply its terminals. These vary in terms of size and capabilities, with several bulky and power-hungry designs in the mix.
Even if Eutelsat can get its hands on the kit in a matter of months, there’s no guarantee that the mix of those terminals would meet the actual demands of Ukraine’s forces on the ground, according to Hamish Low of Enders Analysis. Matching terminals to the appropriate locations and users will take time.
One consolation is that Ukraine doesn’t necessarily need all of its Starlink capacity to fight a war with Russia. Some of the terminals in the country are used by civilians for day-to-day communications, while others support government institutions.
Another consolation is that Eutelsat may have some breathing space. The U.S. agreed on March 12 to resume military aid and intelligence sharing with Ukraine. Compared with last month, when Trump administration negotiators reportedly raised the possibility of cutting off Starlink if a critical minerals deal failed to materialise, that arguably counts as a conciliatory turn. At 6 euros, Eutelsat shares have risen fivefold in the two weeks since Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskiy’s infamous White House encounter with Trump. That’s still far below the 30 euros-plus at which they traded a decade ago, and the company still has around 2.5 billion euros of net debt. Either way investors seem confident that Eutelsat will be a winner in Europe’s rearmament – the question is how committed EU politicians are to ramping it up.
https://www.reuters.com/breakingviews/eus-big-starlink-headache-is-time-not-money-2025-03-14/
submitted by /u/Grigori_Rasputin1869
Target 주식 (NYSE: TGT)에 대한 생각은 어떠신가요? 거의 4년 만에 최저가라고 합니다. 🤔
Posted by: /u/SlfImpr |
Date: 3/15/2025, 2:02:04 AM
It seems to have some headwinds this year due to consumer sentiment and DEI related issues. Any thoughts from this group on the potential stock price direction/growth a year from now?
submitted by /u/SlfImpr
– 유럽 방위산업 ETF
Posted by: /u/Lofi-Fanboy123 |
Date: 3/15/2025, 2:41:30 AM
Rheinmetall AG (Germany) – 18.20%
Leonardo S.p.A. (Italy) – 15.31%
Saab AB (B Shares) (Sweden) – 9.87%
BAE Systems plc (United Kingdom) – 9.81%
Thales S.A. (France) – 9.08%
Rolls-Royce Holdings plc (United Kingdom) – 7.02%
Airbus SE (Netherlands) – 5.64%
Safran S.A. (France) – 5.63%
Kongsberg Gruppen ASA (Norway) – 4.87%
Melrose Industries plc (United Kingdom) – 2.49%
These companies collectively form the core of the ETF, providing exposure to Europe’s defense and aerospace industry.
.. and Yes the sector is a little bit overheated. I invested today a little bit money in the ETF 🙂 Dont forget to put a stop lose. Good luck folks
submitted by /u/Lofi-Fanboy123
애플 시리 책임자, 시리 AI 지연에 대해 “끔찍하고 당혹스럽다”며 개선을 약속 😔
Posted by: /u/s1n0d3utscht3k |
Date: 3/15/2025, 3:51:15 AM
Apple Inc.’s top executive overseeing its Siri virtual assistant told staff that delays to key features have been ugly and embarrassing, and a decision to publicly promote the technology before it was ready made matters worse.
Robby Walker, who serves as a senior director at Apple, delivered the stark comments during an all-hands meeting for the Siri division, saying that the team was facing a bad period. Walker also said that it’s unclear when the enhancements will actually launch, according to people with knowledge of the matter, who asked not to be identified because the gathering was private.
The frank discussion shows the extent of Apple’s crisis in the field of artificial intelligence, where it’s struggling to catch up with peers. Siri — less advanced than rival systems — has become a symbol of Apple’s AI challenges. And the company’s woes boiled over last week, when it acknowledged publicly that critical features would be delayed indefinitely.
During the all-hands gathering, Walker suggested that employees on his team may be feeling angry, disappointed, burned out and embarrassed after the features were postponed. The company had been racing to get the technology ready for this spring, but now the features aren’t expected until next year at the earliest, people familiar with the matter have said.
Still, he praised the team for developing “incredibly impressive” features and vowed to deliver an industry-leading virtual assistant to consumers.
On Feb. 14, Bloomberg News reported that Apple was struggling with bugs and engineering problems on its planned artificial intelligence tools for Siri. At the time, the company postponed the release from April to May, aiming to include the features in its iOS 18.5 operating system. Now it’s looking to add them as an update as early as the iOS 19 software cycle next year.
The features — unveiled last June at Apple’s Worldwide Developers Conference — are fundamental to making Siri a more effective personal assistant. The technology will allow the software to tap into users’ personal data to better respond to queries. It also will let Siri more precisely control apps and analyze content that’s on a user’s screen.
But when Apple demonstrated the features at WWDC using a video mock-up, it only had a barely working prototype, Bloomberg has reported. Walker told staff in the meeting that the delays were especially “ugly” because Apple had already showed off the features publicly. “This was not one of these situations where we get to show people our plan after it’s done,” he said. “We showed people before.”
“To make matters worse,” Walker said, Apple’s marketing communications department wanted to promote the enhancements. Despite not being ready, the capabilities were included in a series of marketing campaigns and TV commercials starting last year.
Apple touted the features as a key selling point of the iPhone 16 line, which otherwise lacked major changes. And it’s part of a broader AI push called Apple Intelligence.
Walker also raised doubts about even meeting the current release expectations. Though Apple is aiming for iOS 19, it “doesn’t mean that we’re shipping then,” Walker said. The company has several more priorities in development, and trade-offs will need to be made, he said.
“We have other commitments across Apple to other projects,” Walker said, citing new software and hardware initiatives. “We want to keep our commitments to those, and we understand those are now potentially more timeline-urgent than the features that have been deferred.” He said decisions on timing will be made on a “case-by-case basis” as work progresses on products planned for next year.
“Customers are not expecting only these new features but they also want a more fully rounded-out Siri,” he said. “We’re going to ship these features and more as soon as they are ready.”
Walker said that there is “intense personal accountability” about this effort shared by his boss John Giannandrea, the head of AI at Apple, as well as software chief Craig Federighi and other executives.
As of Friday, Apple doesn’t plan to immediately fire any top executives over the AI crisis, according to people with knowledge of the matter. That decision could theoretically change at any time. In any case, the company is poised to make management adjustments. It has discussed moving more senior executives under Giannandrea to assist with a turnaround effort. Already, the company tapped longtime executive Kim Vorrath — seen as a project fixer — to assist the group.
Walker said the decision to delay the features was made because of quality issues and that the company has found the technology only works properly up to two-thirds to 80% of the time. He said the group “can make more progress to get those percentages up, so that users get something they can really count on.”
In recent weeks, Federighi voiced concerns to other senior executives that the features weren’t working as advertised, ultimately prompting the decision to delay, Bloomberg reported. Issues with Apple Intelligence were clear from the start, with the company postponing the first batch of features last year and providing vague timelines during its launch event.
Walker defended his Siri group, telling them that they should be proud. Employees poured their “hearts and souls into this thing,” he said. “I saw so many people giving everything they had in order to make this happen and to make incredible progress together.”
But Apple wants to maintain a high bar and only deliver the features when they’re polished, he said. “These are not quite ready to go to the general public, even though our competitors might have launched them in this state or worse.”
He showed examples during the meeting of the technology working: It was able to locate his driver’s license number on command and find specific photos of a child. He also demonstrated how the technology could precisely manipulate apps via voice control. It embedded content in an email, added recipients and made other changes.
Walker told staff that they should “feel really proud of innovative work” done to develop the personal search feature, despite saying it doesn’t always work sufficiently.
Still, the company has met other goals for Siri. That includes bringing a Type-to-Siri interface to iOS 18, as well as adding Apple product knowledge to the platform and an improved understanding of customers. It’s planning to offer Apple Intelligence in several new languages next month and is working overtime to enable the features for China as part of partnerships with Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. and Baidu Inc.
The executive said he didn’t want things to get worse before they got better, saying that special attention will need to be paid to the integration of existing features into iOS 19.
But there’s still a long road ahead. The delayed Siri features are just the first step toward modernizing the software. Apple has been planning upgrades for 2027 that will make Siri more conversational, letting it better compete with other AI chatbots, Bloomberg has reported.
submitted by /u/s1n0d3utscht3k
– 테슬라, 보복 관세 경고. BoA는 트럼프가 무역 정책을 뒤집을 것으로 예상
Posted by: /u/r2002 |
Date: 3/15/2025, 4:02:14 AM
“Tesla warns Trump administration it is ‘exposed’ to retaliatory tariffs” from Financial times (archive link). A snippet from the letter:
“Nonetheless, even with aggressive localisation of the supply chain, certain parts and components are difficult or impossible to source within the US,” the company added. It urged Greer to “further evaluate domestic supply chain limitations to ensure that US manufacturers are not unduly burdened by trade actions that could result in the imposition of cost-prohibitive tariffs on necessary components”.
In another article — “Trump will flip on trade policy before this turns into a bear market, surmises BofA’s Hartnett” from CNBC (archive):
Though administration officials have repeatedly said that they view the current stock market correction as a temporary reaction to the president’s pro-Main Street agenda, eventually Trump will react, the bank’s chief investment strategist said in his weekly analysis of market trends.
“We say this is a correction, not a bear market in U.S. stocks,” Hartnett wrote. ”[M]arkets stop panicking when policy makers start panicking’ … since equity bear threatens recession, fresh declines in stock prices will provoke flip in trade & monetary policy back to ‘he loves me’ stance.”
But will the selling continue? Is today the bottom?
Hartnett thinks the market damage will be limited, but he doesn’t expect the selling is over yet.
The large-cap S&P 500 index would be “a good buy” should it hit 5,300, which would be another 4% lower from Thursday’s close, and when institutional investors’ cash levels surge above 4%.
One “ominous” sign that he sees during the current sell-off is the simultaneous decline in both stocks and Treasury yields, a trend he said is similar to market behavior in 2000, 2002 and the 2008 financial crisis period.
“Good news is financial conditions [are] easing” Hartnett noted, citing lower yields as well as declines in the U.S. dollar and oil.” Hartnett added that “corrections end once sell-off ‘laggards’ crack,” citing rising credit spreads.
“Bottom line…up-in-stocks, up-in-yields, up-in-dollar positioning painfully up-in-smoke thus far in ’25, but sentiment/positioning/price signal equity correction not quite over,” he said.
What are your takes on whether we’ve seen the worst of the tariff turmoil? Do you think with companies like Tesla giving feedback President Trump might slow down the aggressiveness and unpredictability of the tariffs? If tariff policy is flipped to something much more mundane and predictable what stocks are you buying?
submitted by /u/r2002
S&P 500, 5조 달러 폭락 후 반등: 시장 마감 Wrap
Posted by: /u/WinningWatchlist |
Date: 3/15/2025, 4:43:43 AM
The almost 2% advance in the S&P 500 was set to be the biggest since the aftermath of the presidential election. Not even data showing a slide in consumer confidence prevented the market rebound. That follows a selloff that culminated in a 10% plunge of the US equity benchmark from its peak. Treasuries trimmed a recent rally fueled by a flight to safety. Bullion climbed as much as 0.5% to $3,004.94 an ounce before erasing gains.
The moves capped a week of drama that included Trump’s on-and-off-again tariffs, recession calls, geopolitical talks and concerns over a US government shutdown. Combined with all the questioning around lofty tech valuations, global equity funds saw their biggest redemption this year.
“The markets are grappling with the notion of where fair value rests for a stock market that faces headwinds from tariffs, fiscal spending cuts, and potentially softening economic data, said Yung-Yu Ma at BMO Wealth Management. “Negative investor sentiment is building, so a multi-day relief rally could be coming soon.”
Despite Friday’s advance, the S&P 500 still headed toward a fourth straight week of losses — the longest such streak since August. Trading volume was 10% below the average of the past month. Tech megacaps led gains on Friday, with Nvidia Corp. and Tesla Inc. up at least 3.3%. The Nasdaq 100 climbed 2.1%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 1.4%.
The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced three basis points to 4.30%. A dollar gauge fell 0.2%.
“We are seeing some oversold rally efforts once again,” said Dan Wantrobski at Janney Montgomery Scott. “But we caution folks looking to dive back in at the first sign of stability here: nearly everyone is looking for a bottom and to ‘buy the dip’ at some point, but the current condition of the markets has not implied any real improvement on a technical basis – the tape is simply very oversold at this stage.”
Andrew Brenner at NatAlliance Securities says he gets asked multiple times a day: “Is the worst over?”
“We don’t know. We would like to see a capitulation trade, but the seasonals are starting to turn,” Brenner said. “The end of February to the middle of March is an awful time for equity seasonals.”
It took just 16 trading sessions for US stocks to tumble into a correction, leaving a frazzled Wall Street asking just how long the “adjustment period” White House officials have warned about will last.
In the prior 24 instances when stocks have fallen at least 10% from a record but avoided a bear market, it has taken an average of eight months to reclaim an all-time high, according to data from CFRA Research. That would leave the Feb. 19 high intact until mid-October. The average drawdown reached 14% in those cases.
“Corrections are unnerving in the moment, though they are not unusual, and often act as a pressure release valve for overheated markets,” said Mark Hackett at Nationwide. “This will not be the last correction, pullback, or market scare that the bulls will have to face, and yes, an element of caution is warranted.”
“We say this is a correction, not a bear market in US stocks,” Bank of America Corp.’s Michael Hartnett said. “Since equity bear threatens recession, fresh declines in stock prices will provoke flip in trade and monetary policy.”
Yet a century-old indicator that has helped predict the direction of the US stock market is signaling more pain ahead for battered investors.
Known as the Dow Theory, it holds that moves in the Dow Jones Industrial Average must be confirmed by transport stocks, and vice versa, to be sustained. As of Thursday’s close, the 20-member Dow Jones Transportation Average — a barometer of consumer and industrial demand — has slumped 19% from its November peak, teetering near so-called bear-market territory.
“What usually differentiates quicker (often healthy) selloffs from drawn-out bear markets is whether a recession follows,” said Ross Mayfield at Baird Private Wealth Management.
The 23 non-recession corrections since 1965 averaged a 16% drawdown, he said. Meantime, the 8 recession selloffs over that period averaged a 36% drawdown.
“The good news is that despite headwinds, a near-term recession still looks unlikely,” he noted.
Link: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-03-13/stock-market-today-dow-s-p-live-updates
submitted by /u/WinningWatchlist
알래스카 상원 의원이 캐나다 밴쿠버에 기항하는 미국 크루즈선 운항 금지를 위협하며, 약 130만 명의 관광객과 CCL(카니발), RCL(로열 캐리비안), NCLH(노르웨이지안 크루즈 라인 홀딩스)에 영향을 미칠 것으로 예상됩니다. 🚢🚫🇨🇦
Posted by: /u/Mountain-Taro-123 |
Date: 3/15/2025, 8:32:32 AM
Wonder how this would impact Carnival, Royal Caribbean, and Norwegian Cruise Line if this were to go through, currently just a threat in response to British Columbia’s premier charging trucks moving through BC to Alaska.
Sources
https://vancouver.citynews.ca/2025/03/14/alaska-senator-threatens-cruise-ships-bc-stop-over/
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/cruise-ship-passengers-2024-1.7367096
https://www.portvancouver.com/article/record-2024-cruise-season-wraps-port-vancouver
submitted by /u/Mountain-Taro-123
(NYSE: LMT) 캐나다, 미국과의 긴장 속에서 F-35 구매 재고려 중, 장관 발언
Posted by: /u/joe4942 |
Date: 3/15/2025, 8:52:01 AM
Canada is actively looking at potential alternatives to the U.S.-built F-35 stealth fighter and will hold conversations with rival aircraft makers, Defence Minister Bill Blair said late Friday, just hours after being reappointed to the post as part of Prime Minister Mark Carney’s new cabinet.
The remarks came one day after Portugal signalled it was planning to ditch its acquisition of the high-tech warplane.
There has been a groundswell of support among Canadians to kill the $19-billion purchase and find aircraft other than those manufactured and maintained in the United States.
After years of delay, the Liberal government signed a contract with the U.S. defence giant Lockheed Martin in June 2023 to purchase 88 F-35 jets.
submitted by /u/joe4942
참고링크
투자 관련 참고할 만한 웹사이트 목록입니다.