미국커뮤니티 요약
(상세 내용은 하단부에 첨부합니다.)
요즘 시장 분위기가 완전 오락가락이야. 변동성도 크고, 엇갈리는 신호들이 많네. 게다가 백악관에서 금 보유고를 써서 비트코인을 사들인다는 루머도 돌고 있어.개인 투자자들은 미국 주식에 대해 엄청 낙관적인데, 기관 투자자들은 팔고 있다니, 진짜 혼란스럽다!테슬라 현금 흐름에 대한 분석도 한창이고, BYD는 이미 테슬라 판매량을 넘어섰대.소비자 심리도 많이 위축된 것 같아.트레이더들은 TSLA, TTD, AMD, OKLO 같은 종목들로 어떻게 해볼지 전략을 짜고 있는데, 다들 손익이 엇갈리는 것 같더라.
트레이딩뷰
1개월 프리미엄 무료
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미국커뮤니티 상세링크
– 백악관, 비트코인 매입에 금 보유고 활용 가능성 시사 💰
Posted by: /u/progamerboss1521 |
Date: 3/25/2025, 9:32:33 AM
submitted by /u/progamerboss1521
– 양자 컴퓨팅에 대한 물리학자의 생각 💡
Posted by: /u/fzy325 |
Date: 3/25/2025, 12:02:52 PM
My background: PhD student in Physics, working on quantum information on the theory side. I do know many friends that work on the experimental side, though.
As much as I appreciate the interest in my field over the last year or so, I personally think it’s best to keep expectations realistic. Especially with some DD posts I have seen posting incomplete information, and even blatantly false statements (in Physics). I want to clear those up and some personal thoughts on some quantum computing startups.
Quantum communication doesn’t allow for faster-than-light propagation of information
I have seen a DD post that says IonQ achieved faster than light communication via networked entanglement of particles. VERY common misconception about entanglement. Affecting one particle in a pair of entangled particles does not affect the other, it will just break the entanglement. It is proven to be impossible via the no-communication theorem.
Breaking Cryptography, more like breaking your portfolio as you baghold for 10-20 years
Yes, Shor’s algorithm is real. No, it won’t be possible to break encryption until we get a quantum computer with at least 2000 qubits. The most optimal implementations of Shor’s algorithm requires around 2n qubits to factor an n-bit number.
As an example for RSA-1024, you’ll need more than 2000 LOGICAL qubits. Factoring in error correction, which requires multiple PHYSICAL qubits to represent one single logical qubit, you’ll most likely need upwards of 100k physical qubits before we can actually break real-world encryption. I personally see that taking at least 20 years, but some more optimistic estimates place it at 10 years.
IonQ
There’s many DD touting IonQ’s lower error rates, longer lifetimes, and all-to-all connectivity. While all of these are true, they often forget to mention one drawback: the gate speeds.
It takes around a thousand times longer to execute an operation on trapped ion platforms compared to superconducting platforms (which Google, IBM uses). While finance/techbros that have never touched a quantum mechanics textbook will point to the fact that the lifetime of the qubit is at most on the order of 100 seconds, and think that quantum algorithms won’t require more than that time anyways, so this shouldn’t be an issue.
However, keep in mind that the algorithms that are most likely to see real-world use are optimization algorithms like VQE and QAOA. These algorithms need to repeat the quantum circuit many, many times as they gradually change the parameters in the circuit to find the optimal set of solutions.
Furthermore, if your circuit output is some continuous variable that’s encoded into the probability of measuring one of the states, then you need to repeat the circuit upwards of thousands of time to get a good estimate of that probability.
As a conservative estimate for a simple optimization algorithm, let’s say that you need 1000 repetitions of the circuit, each one taking 1000 repetitions to get the output, and each run of the circuit takes 1 second on a trapped ion computer. That takes 11 and a half days on a trapped ion computer, as compared to 17 minutes on a superconducting one. If we use a pay-by-the-minute model in the future for quantum computers, then IonQ likely has to charge less per minute, since you need more time to run an algorithm on their platform. Sure, they can charge a premium for the lower error rates, but if they charge the same amount per minute as superconducting platforms, then customers are likely to simplify the algorithm they want to run (to be more tolerant of errors) to get a solution at a thousandth of the price.
Rigetti
Honestly, looking at their spec sheets for their platforms, and comparing it to Google’s and IBM’s, I don’t see them pulling ahead at any point. Their board also literally kicked out the original founder for (allegedly) being a prick in general.
QUBT
Literally never seen any substantial work from them.
Positions:
https://preview.redd.it/8d3hedfi4rqe1.png?width=1080&format=png&auto=webp&s=f5c6f4e97de5dba5f0aa1ce08d44b6e959d16f03
Disclaimer
This is not financial advice. I’ve literally got my portfolio tied up in RKLB and LUNR because I don’t know anything about space outside of Kerbal Space Program. I don’t invest in quantum because I know quantum. I invest in space because I don’t know space. Someone please make a similar post about space to convince me that space is bad too so I’ll finally put my money into VOO and QQQ.
submitted by /u/fzy325
삼성전자 한종희 부회장(63세), 심장마비로 별세 😥
Posted by: /u/Forgotmypass8008 |
Date: 3/25/2025, 12:38:07 PM
– 기관 투자자들이 빠져나가는 동안 개인 투자자들은 미국 주식에 670억 달러를 쏟아부었다. 💰
Posted by: /u/AlpsSad1364 |
Date: 3/25/2025, 4:49:54 PM
2025년 3월 25일 일일 토론 스레드
Posted by: /u/wsbapp |
Date: 3/25/2025, 6:57:19 PM
submitted by /u/wsbapp
중국 전기차 대기업 BYD, 연간 매출 1,000억 달러 돌파하며 테슬라를 앞서 나가다 🚀
Posted by: /u/The_BakedCrusader |
Date: 3/25/2025, 10:38:51 PM
– 2주 만에 테슬라(TSLA) 주식 108.6k 이익 실현 (판매 완료)
Posted by: /u/NYGiants1532 |
Date: 3/25/2025, 10:45:51 PM
submitted by /u/NYGiants1532
– $TTD 콜에 대한 실사
Posted by: /u/unabayarde |
Date: 3/26/2025, 12:19:38 AM
Ticker: The Trade Desk (TTD)
Position: 100x $70 Calls (July 18, 2024)
Entry Price: $4.80 ($48,000 total risk)
Current Stock Price: ~$65.50 | Option Price: $4.85 ($48,500 position value)
Thesis: Betting on a swift $70+ breakout.
1. Why I’m Playing This
– Earnings Momentum: TTD surged 20%+ post-Q1 (May 2024) on ad-tech strength.
– Technical Setup: Broke $65 resistance; next stop $70-75 (pre-ATH zone).
– Catalyst Potential: Summer streaming demand (Olympics, Netflix ads, etc.).
2. Position Math
– Breakeven: $74.80 ($70 strike + $4.80 premium).
– Profit Potential:
– At $70: Calls worth ~$3.00 (-37.5%, but salvageable).
– At $75: Calls worth ~$5.20 (+8% + intrinsic value).
– At $80: Calls worth ~$10.20 (+112%).
– Max Risk: $48,000 (if TTD ≤ $70 by July 19).
3. Why 100 Contracts?
– High Conviction: Expecting volatility squeeze toward $70+.
– Liquidity Managed: Using limit orders to avoid slippage (bid-ask: $4.75/$4.85).
– Exit Plan: Scale out at $6.00 (25% gain), $8.00 (67% gain), etc.
4. Risks I’m Watching
⚠️ Theta Decay: Losing ~$1.00/week in July (accelerates fast).
⚠️ Low Volume: Open Interest = [X] – may need to exit early.
⚠️ Macro Risks: Weak ad spend data or market pullback.
5. Trade Management
✅ Added Stop Loss: Auto-sell 50% if TTD < $63.
🎯 Profit Targets:
– 25% at $6.00 (sell 25 contracts).
– 50% at $7.50 (sell 50 contracts).
– Let runners ride if $75+ breakout.
🔄 Hedge: Considering $75 puts if market turns.
6. Why Post This Now?
– Accountability: Putting my money where my mouth is.
– Discussion: Are others playing TTD? Better ideas?
– Transparency: No pump—just sharing my thesis.
Final Thoughts
Bull Case: TTD’s CTV growth justifies $75+.
Bear Case: $4.80 premium is steep—needs a strong move.
My Bet: Worth the risk for a 10-20%+ move in 4 weeks.
What’s Your Take?
– “Would you hold or hedge this position?”
– “Is $70 realistic by July?”
– “Any red flags I missed?”
Let’s debate! 🚀
submitted by /u/unabayarde
“TSLZ에 YOLO하는 걸로 두 배로 더 걸었다” 또는 “TSLZ에 YOLO하는 데 판돈을 두 배로 올렸다” 정도로 번역할 수 있습니다. 🚀🚀 (🚀이모티콘은 YOLO의 맥락에서 자주 사용됩니다.)
Posted by: /u/vmspionage |
Date: 3/26/2025, 12:31:25 AM
– 만기일이 주간인 TSLA(테슬라) 265달러 풋옵션 약 1만 계약, 3.87달러에 26배 레버리지 거래 📈
Posted by: /u/SuperBearPut |
Date: 3/26/2025, 12:34:10 AM
https://preview.redd.it/0kyc9leduuqe1.png?width=936&format=png&auto=webp&s=bb248b86d0a6f4aa87b2e1ee25cf8a35e8d1476d
Yesterday, I felt too bullish on TSLA and thought it would go to 300.
Therefore I had to inverse myself.
Here is hoping for a lunch time dump.
submitted by /u/SuperBearPut
– 세일러의 전략, 그리고 스트라이프의 문제점 😥
Posted by: /u/defnotIW42 |
Date: 3/26/2025, 12:52:12 AM
“OKLO 콜옵션을 매수했는데, 옳은 선택이길 바라🙏”
Posted by: /u/ORLA_COROLLAH |
Date: 3/26/2025, 1:10:56 AM
“파이낸셜 타임스, 테슬라의 현금 흐름 14억 달러 허위 기재 주장에 대한 어조를 낮춰”
Posted by: /u/NewOil7911 |
Date: 3/26/2025, 1:31:48 AM
Financial times, after having talked to other accountant sources, now has a 500 million discrepancy instead of 1.4 billion, “small enough to be filled by a combination of foreign exchange movement, non material assets write off…” etc
submitted by /u/NewOil7911
미국의 소비자 신뢰지수가 4개월 연속 하락했으며, 특히 향후 기대지수는 12년 만에 최저치를 기록했습니다. 📉
Posted by: /u/any_hat |
Date: 3/26/2025, 1:38:18 AM
* “나 망했어?”* “나 이제 끝인가?” 💀* “나 ㅈ됐어?” (비속어)* “나 요리됐나?” 🍳 (직역, 상황에 따라 유머러스하게 사용 가능)
Posted by: /u/bluntsmoker_420 |
Date: 3/26/2025, 3:35:10 AM
submitted by /u/bluntsmoker_420
“겨우 19살이라 이제 막 시작하는 단계지만, 아직 게임을 배우는 중이라는 걸 인정해야겠어 🙏”
Posted by: /u/TheOnlySafeCult |
Date: 3/26/2025, 4:22:22 AM
내일 2025년 3월 26일에 뭐 할 거야? 🗓️
Posted by: /u/wsbapp |
Date: 3/26/2025, 4:57:32 AM
submitted by /u/wsbapp
– ‘$AMD 세대적 기회’ 🚀
Posted by: /u/DerianV |
Date: 3/26/2025, 5:04:57 AM
submitted by /u/DerianV
– $TSLA 풋 매수 좀 그만해. 🛑
Posted by: /u/Bright_Interaction73 |
Date: 3/26/2025, 5:22:12 AM
I have consistently been buying $TSLA puts every time it pumps and made decent money but guys, this time it’s different. A 13% pump simply due to “softer tariffs” makes no sense. $NVDA and the SPY have not been moving like $TSLA this past week. Again, a sudden pump to +4% just before closing is very sus. They are somehow managing to trap the retail virgin. How can a stock skyrocket 13% literally after they announce that they lost 44% sales in Europe? When $INTC reported an 8b loss, it lost 30% valuation in 30 minutes. Intuitive Machine($LUNR) lost 50% valuation because they didn’t land something on the moon, idk.
At 3:05PM I noticed a 12M BUY Volume on $TSLA on my Robinhood App. The same thing happened yesterday on closing, someone bought 2M stock. This is not retail investor, This is Elmo and 🥭 cooking up some massive scam which is going to completely cook the retail investor and us, WSB Put buyers. I have made good money buying $TSLA puts but today I have made the cumulative decision to stay away from them.
Elmo is planning something big and our PUTS will be fucked.
I felt that one of us must address this problem and warn the others about Elmo.
submitted by /u/Bright_Interaction73
– 오늘 $TTD로 +$4,000 수익 발생. 이틀 동안 1,535주를 보유해서 얻은 총 수익은 +$7,400입니다.
Posted by: /u/MasterDebator691269 |
Date: 3/26/2025, 5:30:22 AM
천천히 그리고 쉽게 가면 (자리까지 챙기면서) 경주에서 이긴다. 🏃♀️🏆
Posted by: /u/Efficient_Win_3902 |
Date: 3/26/2025, 6:11:54 AM
Its not much, but its honest work
Positions: currently ALL cash and eyeing some VIX plays next week with UVXY
Most of this gain is from space stocks
– 10k ASTS@7 sold at 27
– 10k RKLB@7 sold at 25
– 10k LUNR@5 sold at 10
– RDW (don’t remember positions but sold before it took a nosedive off a cliff a month ago)
– 10k BBAI@3 sold at 9
– 7k SOFI@7 sold at 15
Some of my other apelike option plays were with AMD, NVDA and TSLA
submitted by /u/Efficient_Win_3902
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